History and live data, backed by mathematical proof.
The Football Anomaly is a statistical archive powered by Axiom. Every exhibit, from Lewandowski's five goals in nine minutes to this week's live Premier League variance, is measured against a stated model, not just narrated.
The collection holds 46 historical records across 10 categories, plus live anomalies refreshed weekly from official Premier League data. Each carries a sigma score, a model name, and an improbability estimate, shown or hidden via the “Show the Maths” toggle on every page.
Live anomalies measure team-level structural variance: expected points (xPTS) computed by Poisson match simulation over cumulative xG and xGA. This tracks whether results match underlying chances. It does not judge individual finishing skill, which requires post-shot xGOT data and is evaluated separately.
Observations, not predictions. The archive presents the numbers, the model, and the assumptions. The conclusion is yours.
Categories in the Collection
Editorial Standards
- •Every record cites a verifiable stat, date, or outcome.
- •No subjective adjectives in exhibit or record copy. Numbers speak.
- •Marginalised narratives including women's football, suppressed tournaments, and forgotten pioneers are given equal weight to mainstream records.
- •Each exhibit carries an accession number in the format 2026.[EMOTION].[SEQUENCE], catalogued like a museum object.
- •Every anomaly states its model, parameters, and assumptions. Estimates are labelled as estimates.