The permanent collection — plus this season's live anomalies at the end.
8 records found
Brighton currently sits 1st in the Premier League, but their expected points (xPTS) model places them 4th. They have scored 11 goals from 10.2 xG and conceded 5 from 7.0 xG against. The variance of +3.6 points suggests they are converting chances at an unsustainable rate.
Chelsea currently sits 2nd in the Premier League, but their expected points (xPTS) model places them 7th. They have scored 10 goals from 6.6 xG and conceded 7 from 4.8 xG against. The variance of +3.3 points suggests they are converting chances at an unsustainable rate.
Aston Villa currently sits 18th in the Premier League, but their expected points (xPTS) model places them 14th. They have scored 1 goals from 3.4 xG and conceded 4 from 3.9 xG against. The variance of -3.9 points suggests they are creating better chances than their results show.
Newcastle is performing close to their xPTS model. Actual: 6 pts, Expected: 3.6 pts. Variance: +2.4 (Z = 1.32σ).
Coventry City currently sits 19th in the Premier League, but their expected points (xPTS) model places them 19th. They have scored 0 goals from 4.2 xG and conceded 10 from 7.5 xG against. The variance of -3.4 points suggests they are creating better chances than their results show.
Spurs currently sits 19th in the Premier League, but their expected points (xPTS) model places them 20th. They have scored 0 goals from 3.5 xG and conceded 5 from 6.6 xG against. The variance of -3.3 points suggests they are creating better chances than their results show.
Nott'm Forest currently sits 14th in the Premier League, but their expected points (xPTS) model places them 5th. They have scored 4 goals from 6.4 xG and conceded 4 from 4.1 xG against. The variance of -3.1 points suggests they are creating better chances than their results show.
Ipswich Town is performing close to their xPTS model. Actual: 7 pts, Expected: 5.3 pts. Variance: +1.7 (Z = 1.01σ).