The permanent collection — plus this season's live anomalies at the end.
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Nott'm Forest currently sits 14th in the Premier League, but their expected points (xPTS) model places them 5th. They have scored 4 goals from 6.4 xG and conceded 4 from 4.1 xG against. The variance of -3.1 points suggests they are creating better chances than their results show.